ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION VOLUMES OF VEGETABLE CROPS IN IVANOVO, VLADIMIR AND YAROSLAVL REGIONS

Abstract

Article examines the results of studies of changes in the gross vegetable harvest in agricultural organizations and farms of Ivanovo, Vladimir and Yaroslavl regions. Purpose of the work was to look for the dependence of production volumes of vegetable crops in the areas under consideration on factors such as introduction of mineral and organic fertilizers, sown areas and crop yields. The made analysis allowed to construct the regression equations which describe interrelation between production of vegetable products and productivity, acreage and also introduction of organic and mineral fertilizers in Russian Federation for the explored areas. Quantitative assessment of this analysis indicates that the closest link between the volume of vegetable production and the factors under consideration is observed in the Yaroslavl region. The calculated values of the determination coefficient for Vladimir region showed that 88,3 % of the variability in gross vegetable harvest from the introduction of mine fertilizers, sown areas of vegetables, vegetable yields were explained by regression, and 11,7 by the influence of other factors. Also in this article, the forecast of distribution of gross vegetable harvest in the areas under consideration for 2020 was made and the average error of predicted data was calculated.